
Implied probability
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular announces that he and a partner are expecting a baby through pregnancy between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. This market will resolve based on the date of announcement, regardless of when the child is born. The resolution source will be statements from Clavicular or his representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.