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Economy

Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?

Closes in 6 months$42k 24hOpen

Implied probability

0%YES
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pool depth

not initialized
YES0¢
Pool: $0.00
NO100¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 6 months

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability0%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC