Economy
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
Closes in 4 months$1.5k 24hOpen
Implied probability
9%YES
Yes 9¢No 91¢
Probability over time
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of either Governor Gavin Newsom or Jennifer Siebel Newsom between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pool depth
not initializedYES9¢
Pool: $0.00
NO91¢
Pool: $0.00
Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.