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Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?

Closes in 2 months$2.0k 24hOpen

Implied probability

97%YES
Yes 97¢No 3¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pool depth

not initialized
YES97¢
Pool: $0.00
NO3¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 2 months

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability97%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC