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Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Closes in 18 days$5.4k 24hOpen

Implied probability

1%YES
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pool depth

not initialized
YES1¢
Pool: $0.00
NO99¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 18 days

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability1%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC