Economy
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?
Closes in 4 months$40k 24hOpen
Implied probability
56%YES
Yes 56¢No 44¢
Probability over time
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pool depth
not initializedYES56¢
Pool: $0.00
NO44¢
Pool: $0.00
Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.