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Politics

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Closes in 5 months$176k 24hOpen

Implied probability

0%YES
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Pool depth

not initialized
YES0¢
Pool: $0.00
NO100¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 5 months

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability0%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC