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Pop Culture

Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?

Closes in 4 months$2.1k 24hOpen

Implied probability

15%YES
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes H.R. 4787 (119th). Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pool depth

not initialized
YES15¢
Pool: $0.00
NO85¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 4 months

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability15%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC