News
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Closes in 3 years$27k 24hOpen
Implied probability
26%YES
Yes 26¢No 74¢
Probability over time
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pool depth
not initializedYES26¢
Pool: $0.00
NO74¢
Pool: $0.00
Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.