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World

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Closes in 4 months$39k 24hOpen

Implied probability

17%YES
Yes 17¢No 83¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Pool depth

not initialized
YES17¢
Pool: $0.00
NO83¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 4 months

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability17%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC