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Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Closes in 6 months$301k 24hOpen

Implied probability

99%YES
Yes 99¢No 1¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pool depth

not initialized
YES99¢
Pool: $0.00
NO1¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 6 months

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability99%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC