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Politics

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Closes in 15 days$21k 24hOpen

Implied probability

97%YES
Yes 97¢No 3¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Pool depth

not initialized
YES97¢
Pool: $0.00
NO3¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 15 days

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability97%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC