Implied probability
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.