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Politics

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Closes in 6 months$20k 24hOpen

Implied probability

0%YES
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Probability over time

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Pool depth

not initialized
YES0¢
Pool: $0.00
NO100¢
Pool: $0.00

Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.

Discussion(0)

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Closes in 6 months

$USDC
To win$0.00
Implied probability0%

On-chain escrow · 2% protocol fee · Min 1 USDC