World
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closes in 3 months$119k 24hOpen
Implied probability
1%YES
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Probability over time
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pool depth
not initializedYES1¢
Pool: $0.00
NO99¢
Pool: $0.00
Implied price = pool share. Winners split the total pot pro-rata to stake when the market resolves, minus a 2% protocol fee.