Economy
Live economy markets.
Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes
100%
No
0%
Closes in 2 daysPolymarket $4.4M/24h
Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 2 daysPolymarket $1.8M/24h
Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 2 daysPolymarket $757k/24h
Tech
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $389k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 2 daysPolymarket $346k/24h
World
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
99%
No
1%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $301k/24h
Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes
93%
No
7%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $110k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $90k/24h
Tech
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $77k/24h
Economy
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $41k/24h
Tech
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $38k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $30k/24h
Tech
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $29k/24h
Tech
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $26k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $26k/24h
Tech
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $25k/24h
Economy
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $22k/24h
Tech
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $16k/24h
Economy
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
39%
No
61%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $16k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes
6%
No
94%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $13k/24h
World
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Yes
87%
No
14%
Closes in 18 daysPolymarket $11k/24h
Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
85%
No
16%
Closes in 3 monthsPolymarket $9.1k/24h
Tech
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 6 monthsPolymarket $9.0k/24h
Economy
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $6.9k/24h
Tech
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Closes in 17 daysPolymarket $6.6k/24h
Economy
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
4%
No
96%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $6.3k/24h
Economy
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $6.1k/24h
Economy
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $6.1k/24h
Politics
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Closes in 5 monthsPolymarket $5.9k/24h
Economy
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $5.7k/24h
World
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Yes
1%
No
100%
Closes in 18 daysPolymarket $5.4k/24h
Economy
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
16%
No
85%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $5.3k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Yes
21%
No
80%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $4.8k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Closes in 3 monthsPolymarket $4.7k/24h
World
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Closes in 18 daysPolymarket $4.7k/24h
Economy
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 2 daysPolymarket $4.1k/24h
Sports
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Yes
41%
No
60%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $3.7k/24h
Economy
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $3.5k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
3%
No
97%
Closes in 3 monthsPolymarket $3.3k/24h
Economy
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes
28%
No
72%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $3.2k/24h
Tech
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?
Yes
6%
No
94%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $2.7k/24h
Economy
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $2.4k/24h
Economy
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Yes
19%
No
81%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $2.1k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
10%
No
91%
Closes in 3 monthsPolymarket $2.0k/24h
World
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?
Yes
97%
No
3%
Closes in 2 monthsPolymarket $2.0k/24h
Economy
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Yes
34%
No
66%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $2.0k/24h
Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Closes in 3 monthsPolymarket $1.9k/24h
Economy
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Yes
31%
No
69%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $1.9k/24h
Sports
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Yes
19%
No
82%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $1.8k/24h
Sports
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
Yes
22%
No
78%
Closes in 15 daysPolymarket $1.7k/24h
Economy
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Yes
49%
No
52%
Closes in 8 monthsPolymarket $1.7k/24h